All the previous forecasts of when we will be enjoying autonomous cars appear to be incorrect. Elon Musk and his Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) missed their initial prediction for 2018), and then their second as well for 2020. Even the Guardian saw us as permanent backseat drivers by 2020, and that was back in 2015. The Business Insider had a headline article in 2016 that by 2020 there will be 10 million self-driving cars. Moreover, that prediction was not without foundation. It was based on announcements about the upcoming autonomous cars from Honda Motor Co (NYSE: HMC), Toyota Motor Corporation (NYSE: TM), General Motors (NYSE: GM), and Waymo LLC, a Google’s (NASDAQ: GOOG) subsidiary for the development of autonomous driving technology. But it seems we will have to wait a little longer because that future is not here yet.

The issues that autonomous cars are facing

We must admit that leading names in the car and tech industry are making extraordinary efforts to make autonomous cars possible. But we are still in the trial phase. Current autopilots are helping us stay in our lanes, push the brakes for us, warn us about collisions and other dangers, or even handle highway driving, like Tesla’s Model S, but that is it. We still have several questions that must be resolved. First, driving is one of our more complicated routine activities, which we perform not only by following the driving rules and laws, but also through many small judgment calls and instinctive actions which are not that easy to encode. Even with the great progress that AI has made over the previous decade, navigation and driving on our roads with a high enough level of reliability, is a true real-world challenge that still doesn’t have a complete AI solution. But, solutions are getting better and better and AI is getting closer to the goal as we speak.

What is happening with Apple’s autonomous car?

Both automakers and tech companies are interested in autonomous vehicles. Tech companies may be at a slight advantage since the main issues of autonomous driving are related to AI and self-driving car programs. Even EVs are already more about software than hardware. Speculations around  surprise Apple’s (NASDAQ: AAPL) self-driving car with its trademark apple are rising with every passing minute. According to Reuters, the on-again/off-again, and now apparently back on again Apple Car might finally be a reality in 2024 which is supposedly the earliest production date. The only certain thing about this piece of news is that if that vehicle comes to life, it will be completely integrated with iOS. That’s how much we (don’t) know. It seems that while the self-driving software is currently being tested, the physical works on the car are being carried out with the vehicle to feature “next level” battery technology. Even though DMV has issued an autonomous testing permit. The analysts are a bit more pessimistic, expecting Apple’s EV debut no sooner than 2025 or more precisely, sometime until 2027.

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